Great news for farmers and the economy! The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has released its 2025 monsoon forecast, predicting that the country is likely to witness above-normal rainfall during the four-month monsoon season from June to September.
π Monsoon DurationAccording to M. Ravichandran, Secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences, total rainfall could reach 105% of the long-term average of 87 cm. The southwest monsoon officially spans June 1 to September 30.
π IMD's Probability ForecastAs per IMD Director-General Mrutyunjay Mahapatra, the monsoon probabilities are as follows:
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30% chance of normal rainfall (96β104% of LPA)
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33% chance of above-normal rainfall (105β110% of LPA)
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26% chance of excess rainfall (above 110% of LPA)
States likely to experience normal to above-normal rainfall include:
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Madhya Pradesh
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Rajasthan
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Maharashtra (especially Marathwada)
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Odisha
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Chhattisgarh
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Uttar Pradesh
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West Bengal
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Parts of Telangana
Some regions may experience below-average rainfall, such as:
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Tamil Nadu
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Bihar
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Jammu & Kashmir
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Ladakh
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Northeastern states (like Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, etc.)
This forecast brings relief for the agricultural sector, especially for regions that were drought-prone in the past. Higher rainfall means better crop yield, increased groundwater recharge, and improved rural incomeβa major boost for the economy.
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