Most accurate pollster of 2020 releases battleground state polls: Key details

With less than a, AtlasIntel , the polling firm renowned for its accuracy in the 2020 elections, has released its latest battleground poll, indicating a clear lead for Donald Trump across seven critical swing states. The poll shows Trump ahead in all these states, a potential game-changer for his campaign as he seeks to reclaim the presidency.

According to the poll results, Trump leads in Arizona by 5 points, North Carolina by 4, and Nevada by 4. The margins are tighter in Georgia (Trump +2), Pennsylvania (Trump +1), and Michigan (Trump +1), while Kamala Harris narrowly leads in Wisconsin by just 0.3%. This data suggests that if the election were held today, Trump would secure 312 electoral votes, significantly surpassing the threshold needed for victory.

Nationally, Trump holds a 1.9% lead in the popular vote, with 49.1% support compared to Harris’s 47.2%. The remaining 3.7% of respondents remain undecided or support other candidates. AtlasIntel's CEO said, "The polls AtlasIntel released today were not our final polls. Expect one or two more releases prior to Election Day."

📊ATLAS POLLS - SWING STATES

Harris leads in only one of the 7 decisive swing states for the Electoral College outcome: Wisconsin. Trump's advantage over his opponent is most significant in states such as AZ, NV and NC. The race is tight in the Rust Belt swing states. pic.twitter.com/H0AqUuraoL

— AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) October 31, 2024

With just a few days to go for the United States elections, a staggering 61.0 million Americans have already made their voices heard by casting their ballots in the November election, according to a report by CNN. Notably, voters have cast their ballots either by mail or through early in-person voting for the presidential elections between Vice President Kamala Harris, a Democrat, and former President Donald Trump, a Republican.

Meanwhile, new CNN polls conducted by SSRS reveal that the presidential race is heating up in Georgia and North Carolina, with the latest polls showing a neck-and-neck contest between Harris and Trump. Likely voters in Georgia divide 48% for Trump to 47% for Harris, and in North Carolina, Harris stands at 48% to Trump's 47%. These narrow margins are within the poll's margin of error, indicating no clear frontrunner in either state.

It is interesting to note that North Carolina, which supported former President Barack Obama in 2008, has voted Republican in the past three presidential elections. However, in 2020, Trump won against US President Joe Biden. Joe Biden made history in Georgia four years ago by defeating Donald Trump with a margin of less than 1 percentage point, becoming the first Democrat to win the state since Bill Clinton's victory in 1992.

In both states, Harris is leading among Black likely voters (84% to 13% in Georgia; 78% to 19% in North Carolina) and voters with college degrees (55% to 39% in Georgia; 53% to 42% in North Carolina). On the other hand, Trump holds a commanding lead, 81% to 15%, among white voters without college degrees in Georgia, while leading by a less overwhelming margin, 65% to 31%, in North Carolina.

As the candidates campaign in the battleground states, they are not just vying for votes but also addressing pressing issues like border security and immigration, particularly in states with significant Latino populations.